Polls Put Eisenkot Ahead of Netanyahu, but Coalition Majority Remains Unclear

Recent surveys show Eisenkot’s party leading while neither camp appears able to secure 61 seats independently.

Published: Sep 18, 2026, 11:08 PMUpdated: Sep 18, 2026, 11:08 PM
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Polls Put Eisenkot Ahead of Netanyahu, but Coalition Majority Remains Unclear
Summary

Recent polls cited by IRNA place Gadi Eisenkot’s party ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud, but the opposition lacks a clear independent path to the 61 seats needed to form a government.

With 42 days remaining before the parliamentary election, recent polls cited by Iran’s IRNA show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud. Channel 12 projects 23 seats for Yashar and 20 for Likud, while Kan 11 gives them 24 and 20 seats, respectively. However, the opposition camp still faces difficulty reaching the 61-seat threshold needed to form a government without support from Arab parties. The outcome may hinge on Arab voter turnout and whether smaller parties cross the electoral threshold.