Polls Put Eisenkot Ahead of Netanyahu as Coalition Math Remains Uncertain

Israeli opposition parties lead in one survey but remain dependent on smaller and Arab parties to reach a 61-seat majority.

Published: Sep 18, 2026, 11:08 PM
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Polls Put Eisenkot Ahead of Netanyahu as Coalition Math Remains Uncertain
Summary

Polls cited in the supplied report place Gadi Eisenkot ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu, but show no clear path for either bloc to secure the 61 seats needed to form a government without additional coalition partners. Arab turnout and the performance of smaller parties could be decisive.

Recent Israeli polls cited by Iranian state news agency IRNA show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party leading Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud, while neither main bloc appears able to form a government independently.

A Channel 12 poll gives Yashar 23 seats and Likud 20. Opposition parties would hold 54 seats among Zionist parties and could reach 66 with Arab parties, while Netanyahu’s bloc is projected at 50 seats. A separate Kan 11 poll puts both blocs at 52 seats, with Arab parties holding 12.

The outcome may depend on turnout among Arab voters and whether smaller parties, including Ofra Winter’s Amkha Israel and the Hendel-Zelekha list, cross the electoral threshold. Eisenkot leads opposition voters as their preferred leader, but the polls indicate that coalition formation remains uncertain.